Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.541845 0.595486 0.654472 0.724588 0.806235 0.899026 1.013491
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.454936 0.533689 0.629309 0.756374 0.924688 1.146052 1.470382
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.383921 0.471860 0.586698 0.753186 0.998830 1.367703 2.010291
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.345816 0.441945 0.575572 0.785119 1.127940 1.718451 2.974496
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.304248 0.399157 0.536857 0.765220 1.168934 1.945548 3.921787
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.266277 0.355522 0.488814 0.718655 1.148417 2.047952 4.708861
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.236742 0.320461 0.448399 0.676062 1.122054 2.126564 5.551649
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.223976 0.308961 0.443039 0.692534 1.215870 2.535937 8.285708
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.218986 0.308656 0.455431 0.743460 1.401097 3.330819 15.757148
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.207649 0.296850 0.446476 0.750947 1.489312 3.921939 26.625766
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.193322 0.278777 0.424306 0.727264 1.491127 4.214581 38.734957
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.183459 0.267289 0.412648 0.723716 1.546812 4.799842 72.620620
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.174388 0.257021 0.403252 0.726261 1.631189 5.704280 217.577344
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.166623 0.248570 0.396753 0.735468 1.746901 7.074938 3497.883814
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.157188 0.236473 0.382022 0.722901 1.789484 8.153950 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.152558 0.232516 0.382797 0.748629 1.984779 11.232297 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.144018 0.220803 0.366685 0.728253 1.995953 12.684229 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.134123 0.205984 0.342941 0.684174 1.893735 12.476107 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.125386 0.192836 0.321715 0.644207 1.797686 12.207885 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.122163 0.189681 0.320970 0.659424 1.949499 16.690382 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.121653 0.191526 0.330934 0.706717 2.289271 30.516296 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.118062 0.187243 0.327174 0.713642 2.436125 44.389501 NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.112709 0.179247 0.314531 0.691633 2.409883 50.405047 NaN